Like the Moving Average Breakout, the longer the look back period, the less whipsaw, but the greater open profits that can be left on the table. So, we look for the highest high in 20 days or the lowest low in 20 days. When exceeded, these two levels become our entry points. With the use of software such as Amibroker you can automate the signals each day. Once the boundaries of the channel have been established we place a Buy Stop to enter long above the upper boundary or a Sell Stop to enter short below the lower boundary. Place a Buy Stop 1 cent above the upper boundary and a Sell Stop 1 cent below the lower boundary.

This particular Forex breakout strategy is one I have used for years.

It has become my favorite pattern to trade, partly because of its reliability and partly because of the more than favorable risk to reward ratios it often produces. The illustration above is very similar to the first two illustrations. The major difference here is that instead of having one trend line and one horizontal line, we have two trend lines.

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One trend line is acting as support while the other is acting as resistance. The breakout to this pattern occurs when the market eventually breaks to one side or the other. While a wedge is typically a continuation pattern, I tend to trade it based on whichever way the market breaks. In other words, I let the market show its hand before making any considerations about future price movement. Notice how in the chart above, the market had worked its way into a wedge pattern.

As the market began to consolidate tighter, it eventually broke wedge support and subsequently retested this support level as new resistance. Most times your entry will come on a retest of former support or resistance. We will discuss this in greater detail later in the lesson. Your stop loss should be placed above or below the breakout candle, at a minimum. In the case of the USDJPY breakout pattern below, your stop loss should be placed above the candle that broke support. In the chart above, the market broke wedge support on the breakout candle and subsequently retested former support as new resistance.

This retest presented an opportunity to get short with a stop loss above the breakout candle. This makes for an ideal area to target for our trade setup. So what kind of risk to reward ratio did we get out of this trade setup? In the USDJPY 4 hour chart above, we can see that the stop loss was 13 pips from the entry while the take profit was 50 pips from the entry. This gives us a 3. One major difference here is that there was no retest of former support once the market broke to the downside. The retest that we look for as part of this Forex breakout strategy typically comes within the next few candles.

This is a good indication that the market lacks the strength to retest former wedge support. For this setup, our stop loss was 45 pips from the entry. Remember that you want your stop loss above or below the breakout candle. Because this is a short setup, our stop loss was placed above the breakout candle.

Our take profit, on the other hand, was pips from the entry. The target was identified by the recent low which was made several weeks prior.

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Note that the market gapped down the following week and ran for another pips before reversing. Although this looks great in hindsight, the logical target at the time was pips away, which still produced a very healthy 3.

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This particular setup took just 36 hours from start to finish — not bad to be able to make a 7. As I bring this lesson to a close, I want to leave you with one last setup. The setup above formed on the daily chart, so from start to finish this consolidation period lasted for days. This brings me to an important observation about the Forex breakout strategy — the longer the market consolidates, the more volatile the breakout will be.

For those who were able to get in this trade at the breakout point and ride the trade until the consolidation period take profit level there was a massive gain to be had. A stop loss below the breakout candle meant a 50 pip stop with a potential gain of pips. That works out to a very healthy 12R trade. Just remember that like any other trading strategy, this breakout strategy is not without flaw.

Therefore always be sure to maintain a proper risk to reward ratio and use a favorable stop loss strategy on every trade. We covered a lot of content in this lesson. Here are some of the highlights to keep in mind as you begin to implement this trading strategy into your game plan. Something simple like a wedge or channel break is my preferred method for trading breakouts. As long as you take the time to develop a trading edge and stay patient, breakout strategies like the one taught here can be reliable and incredibly profitable.

Price action is all you need. But in my experience, nothing beats raw price action for trading breaks.

A Simple Breakout Trading Strategy in Python.

Do you use a similar Forex breakout strategy? Or maybe you just have a question about this lesson. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. There was no confirmation of a breakout on the previous high, since though the candles tested the resistance none of them actually closed outside of it. Hi Justin!

A false breakout could occur no matter the breakout candle close properly, before reach the next support or resistance area? Do you never try a channel breakout?

Pattern Recognition: Channel Breakout - The Chartist

You want to wait for a close outside of the level to confirm the breakout. Thanks for your question. The last example in this lesson was the exception to the rule in terms of giving a retest of the level. I actually traded this breakout and entered as soon as the 4 hour bar closed. The momentum here was tremendous and this pair had been consolidating for days. Any time you get that length of consolidation, the ensuing breakout is often quite volatile.

This is partly due to the fact that there were a lot of stops above resistance that were being taken out. Thanks for the post Mr. Justin, Just one question though can I use a measured objective I. Your profit target should never be left to a measured objective without first checking to see how that objective lines up with the levels the market has deemed to be important.

Thanks i always trade support and resistorsi. Charles, most trading platforms have this ability. Thank you so much for this eye opener. Please, i will appreciate a lesson on Equidistant Channel that How th draw and use it. GOD bless and thank you.



Could you let us know why you placed the short entry were you did? Did you mean to place it below the candle that broke the wedge? After a legitimate breakout occurs the price will often pull back to the vicinity of the original breakout--not always but often. When the price pulls back to the original breakout point is when you take your trade.

For example, if the price is ranging and then breaks higher, only go long when the price pulls back to the original breakout point. The Second Chance Breakout Day Trading Strategy article describes this method in detail, including what signals your entry and where to place a stop loss and target. Occasionally ranges and chart patterns occur within larger trends. When that occurs you don't need to wait for the breakout to trade.

The Forex Breakout Strategy You Need to Master in 2021

For example, assume the price of an asset is trending higher but then moves into a range. The odds slightly favor an upside breakout of the range as opposed to a downside breakout, because the price is trending higher. Therefore, instead of waiting for an upside breakout, or even a second chance breakout as discussed above, consider buying near the bottom of the range support. Doing so provides three major advantages.

The same concept applies to any pattern, whether the trend is up or down. When you have a range or a triangle pattern develop within a trend, assume the trend will continue, and take trades with very low risk inside the pattern Does it always work? No, but when it does your profits are big, and when it doesn't work, your losses are small.